The national pesticide market development is generally stable
In the first nine months of 2014, the country's cumulative production of raw materials was 2.747 million tons, an increase of 3.7%. Among them, fungicides increased the most, with a production of 173,000 tons, an increase of 13.6%; pesticide production of 444,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.7%; herbicide production of 1.317 million tons, an increase of 5.5%
In the first nine months of 2014, the country's cumulative production of raw materials was 2.747 million tons, an increase of 3.7%. Among them, fungicides increased the most, with a production of 173,000 tons, an increase of 13.6%; pesticide production of 444,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.7%; herbicide production of 1.317 million tons, an increase of 5.5%.
Recently, the 30th China Plant Protection Information Exchange and Pesticide Machinery Fair was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province. At the meeting, the Ministry of Agriculture's National Agricultural Technology Extension Service Center for Pesticides and Pharmaceuticals announced the summary of China's pesticide and drug market in 2014, and looked forward to the market in 2015.
According to Zhao Qing, deputy director of the Pesticide and Pharmaceutical Machinery Division of the National Agricultural Technology Extension Service Center, “In 2014, the pesticide market was generally stable. Due to the adjustment of planting structure and the promotion of high-efficiency drug technology, it is expected that the demand for pesticides in China will be basically the same in this year. Among them, seed treatment agents will maintain strong growth momentum, and high-efficiency application machines will usher in development opportunities."
2014 market characteristics:
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Overall stable, adequate supply, little price change, meeting the needs of prevention and control
Zhao Qing gives the following explanations about the different developments and specific effects of specific varieties:
First, the market for pesticide products has shrunk and the peak season is not prosperous. At the beginning of the year, due to the continuous low temperature weather, the pesticide market started slowly. In particular, the cold springs in the northeast and Xinjiang, as well as the persistent drought in Henan, Hebei, Shandong, Liaoning and other provinces, led to a downturn in the entire pesticide market. Heavy rains in southern China, such as Guizhou and Hunan, have reduced the demand for pesticides and reduced the amount of pesticides.
There are five main factors in the peak season of the pesticide market: one is the climatic cause, and the north is dry and south. Second, the market supply is sufficient, supply exceeds demand, and prices are lower. Third, the domestically produced conventional varieties were squeezed by high-efficiency new products of multinational companies, the market share was reduced, and the amount of pesticides used was reduced. Fourth, the international market was affected by the weather and economic situation. The purchase volume was reduced by about 40% compared with previous years. The export situation was blocked and the price continued to decline. Fifth, there was no serious outbreak of crop pests this year. In addition to the heavier rice planthoppers in Hunan and Xuzhou, southern rice producing areas, the rice pests in the area were moderate, and the common pesticides such as pyridoxine, imidacloprid and buprofezin were controlled. The sales volume of nitenpyram and thiamethoxam declined sharply, and the price dropped significantly. In addition, the continued reduction in cotton acreage has also reduced the use of pesticides. In the relatively low-grade pesticide market this year, avermectin, avidin and insecticides have also shown a rising price.
Second, the price of the fungicide is stable and the dosage is increased. The price of fungicides was basically the same as last year, and the dosage increased. The main reason is the government procurement, the use of some conventional varieties of wheat is more; the second is the expansion of economic crops such as fruits and vegetables; the third is that many pathogens have higher resistance to some conventional fungicides, and the control effect is obviously reduced. It is often necessary to increase the dose for better control.
Third, the herbicides are relatively dull and the dosage is reduced. This year, due to the impact of the entire agricultural consumption market and the low price of agricultural products, the market for herbicide products is relatively flat. For example, the price of glyphosate reached a maximum of RMB 37,000/ton at the beginning of the year. Due to the delay in the list of companies that passed the environmental check of glyphosate (diphosphonate), some of the idle capacity has also started, and the domestic procurement in South America has decreased. The price of glyphosate has gradually dropped back to the current 24,000 yuan / ton; the prices of atrazine and acetochlor are maintained at a low price of 23,000 yuan / ton and 21,000 yuan / ton respectively; only paraquat, Nicosulfuron and quizalofol are affected by environmental protection and limited production, and their production capacity is obviously insufficient. They have been operating at high prices. The market for other herbicide products is generally stable and the price is relatively flat.
Fourth, the amount of the substance growth regulator is significantly increased. Plant growth regulators have a good effect on crop stress resistance, yield increase, quality improvement and yield. The demonstration and publicity effects are better, and they are gradually recognized by farmers and the use amount is increased.
2015 demand forecast:
Maintaining a steady state, obvious growth of seed coating agents, increasing the use of economic crops, and broad prospects for efficient drug application
According to the statistical forecast analysis of the plant protection and quarantine stations of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government), the total national pesticide demand in 2015 is estimated to be 1.0094 million tons, and the discounted amount is 325,800 tons, which is basically the same as the previous year. The varieties with a demand of 1-2 million tons or more include glyphosate, dichlorvos, copper sulfate, acetochlor, carbendazim, chlorpyrifos, and atrazine.
“With the increase of population, the three food crops of wheat, rice and corn still maintain a tight balance between supply and demand, and the rigid demand for agrochemical products will not change. It is expected that the pesticide market will continue to maintain a stable trend in 2015.” Zhao Qing said that in 2015, there will be economic crops, such as the trend of increasing the planting scale of specialty vegetables, seedlings and flowers, forest trees, edible fungi and Chinese herbal medicines, which will increase the amount of pesticides.
Zhao Qing also gave relevant forecasts for the market demand for specific products in the market next year:
First, the total amount of pesticides showed a downward trend and the structural adjustment was obvious. The total demand is expected to be 110,300 tons, a decrease of 8.27% over the previous year.
Among them, the demand for organic phosphorus decreased significantly, and the use of high-efficiency, low-toxic, long-lasting varieties increased. The estimated demand was 77,700 tons, a decrease of 6.12% over the previous year. Organic phosphorus has been declining year by year in recent years. The varieties with large demand are dichlorvos, chlorpyrifos, trichlorfon, phoxim, acephate, omethoate, triazophos.
The expected demand for carbamates is 0.52 million tons, a decrease of 18.81% over the previous year. The varieties with large demand are Isoprocarb, Carbofuran and Dingbu Kewei; the varieties with larger increase are indoxacarb, carbaryl, chlorhexidine and butyl thiocarb. The varieties with a large decline were sulphur difenide, aldicarb and carbofur.
Pyrethroids are expected to have a demand of 0.36 million tons, a 15% decrease from the previous year. The most demanding varieties are beta-cypermethrin, fenvalerate, and fenpropathrin. The varieties with a large increase are bifenthrin and S-fenvalerate.
The demand for other pesticides is expected to be 23,900 tons, a decrease of 11.31% over the previous year. The most demanding varieties are insecticidal bis, imidacloprid, pymetrozine, Bacillus thuringiensis (BT), chlorbenzuron, avermectin, acetamiprid. In addition, demand for 22 varieties such as avermectin, emamectin, buprofezin, insecticide, and thiamethoxam declined.
Second, the demand for acaricides has risen. The estimated demand is 10,900 tons, an increase of 3.59% over the previous year. The varieties with large demand are crystal sulphur sulphide, acetylene oxime, oxime, dicofol, triazole tin, and sputum. The larger demand growth is the crystal stone sulphur mixture.
Third, the demand for fungicides continues to rise. The estimated demand is 91,200 tons, an increase of 8.5% over the previous year. The varieties with large demand are copper sulfate, carbendazim, dexame, thiophanate-methyl, copper hydroxide, tricyclazole, jinggangmycin, chlorothalonil, triadimefon, metalaxyl, rice. Ling Ling and so on. The varieties with large increase in demand include syringic acid ester, trifloxystrobin, azoxystrobin, bactericidal acid, copper hydroxide, pyraclostrobin, seed dressing, enestrobin, thiabendazole, and dexame. Wait.
Fourth, the demand for herbicides was basically the same as that of the previous year. The estimated demand is 109,400 tons, which is basically the same as the previous year. The varieties with large demand are: glyphosate, acetochlor, atrazine, paraquat, butachlor, 2,4-D butyl ester, bentazone, metolachlor, xylene tetrachloride, Fomesafen, quinclorac, trifluralin.
The varieties with a large increase in demand are oxyfluorfen, acetochlor, cletheth, mesalamine, herbicide, oxazinone, imidazolidinic acid, pretilachlor, chlorsulfuron-methyl, alachlor , methotrexate, chlorpyrifos, ethametsulfuron, oxazolamide and the like.
Fifth, the demand for plant growth regulators has declined. The estimated demand is 39.8.83 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10.55%. The varieties with large demand are ethephon, paclobutrazol and ketamine.
Sixth, the demand for rodenticides has dropped slightly. The estimated demand is 50.86 tons. The most demanding varieties are the enemy sodium salt and bromadiolone, among which the sodium salt of the chlorpyrifos has a large decline, and the varieties used by the rodenticides on the market are relatively few.
Zhao Qing also pointed out that in recent years, the seed treatment agent industry, which has the main advantages of “one drug is multi-effect, saves labor and time, has less effort, concealed application, and environmental safety”, has flourished. Many domestic and foreign pesticide companies are enthusiastic and enthusiastic. Influx and increase research and development efforts. At present, seed treatment agents have become a hot spot for companies to apply for registration, and have also become a new growth point for the industry. There is still a huge market space in the seed treatment market, and the number of seed coating products registered will continue to increase in the next two or three years. For more information, please refer to the "2014-2018 China Agriculture Industry Development Forecast Report" published in the China Report Hall.
“In addition, through surveys of 83 specialized prevention and treatment organizations across the country, professionalized prevention organizations have been widely recognized for new high-efficiency drug-using machines, and their willingness to purchase is strong. At the same time, with the deepening of land circulation, new family farms and large-scale planters With the rapid development, the demand for high-efficiency drug-applying machinery will continue to increase. It is believed that with the continuous increase of policy support, high-efficiency drug-applying machinery will usher in the spring of development.” Zhao Qing added when talking about the future development trend of the pesticide market. .