The development of the national pesticide market is generally stable
In the first nine months of 2014, the country produced a total of 2.747 million tons of technical ingredients, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. Among them, fungicides increased the most, with an output of 173,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%; insecticide output was 444,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.7%; herbicide output was 1.317 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%.
Recently, the 30th China Plant Protection Information Exchange and Pesticide Machinery Fair was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province. At the meeting, the Department of Pesticide and Medicinal Equipment of the National Agricultural Technology Promotion Service Center of the Ministry of Agriculture announced the summary of the market situation of pesticides and medicinal equipment in my country in 2014, and also made an outlook on the market situation in 2015.
According to Zhao Qing, deputy director of the Pesticide and Pharmaceutical Equipment Division of the National Agricultural Technology Promotion Service Center: "The pesticide market was generally stable in 2014. Due to the adjustment of planting structure and the promotion of efficient drug use technology, it is expected that the demand for pesticides in my country in 2015 will be basically the same as this year. , among which seed treatment agents will maintain a strong growth momentum, and high-efficiency spraying machinery will usher in development opportunities."
2014 market features:
Focusing on the different development situations and specific impacts of specific varieties, Zhao Qing gave the following explanation:
First, the market for pesticide products is shrinking, and the peak season is not prosperous. At the beginning of the year, the pesticide market was slow to start due to the continuous low temperature weather. In particular, the cold spring in Northeast, Xinjiang and other places, as well as the continuous drought in Henan, Hebei, Shandong, Liaoning and other provinces, have led to a downturn in the entire pesticide market. Heavy rains in Guizhou, Hunan and other southern regions caused disasters, reducing the demand and usage of pesticides.
There are five main reasons why the pesticide market is not prosperous in peak season. Second, the market supply is sufficient, the supply exceeds the demand, and the price falls. Third, the domestic conventional varieties are squeezed by the high-efficiency new products of multinational companies, the market share is reduced, and the amount of pesticides used is reduced. Fourth, affected by the weather and the economic situation in the international market, the purchase volume decreased by about 40% compared with previous years, and the export was hindered, and the price continued to decline. Fifth, there is no serious outbreak of crop insect pests this year. Except for the heavy rice planthopper in Hunan and Xuzhou, Jiangsu, the occurrence of rice insect pests is moderate in southern rice producing areas. The sales volume of nitenpyram and thiamethoxam decreased sharply, and the price dropped significantly. In addition, the continued reduction in cotton acreage has also reduced the use of pesticides. In the relatively sluggish pesticide market this year, there are also abamectin, emamectin, and insecticide lists showing a rise in both volume and price.
Second, the price of fungicides is stable and the dosage is increasing. The price of fungicides was basically the same as last year, and the usage increased. The main reasons are: one is government procurement, and some conventional varieties of wheat are used more; second, the planting area of economic crops such as fruits and vegetables has expanded; Often increase the dose, in order to better control effect.
Third, herbicides are relatively flat, and the dosage has decreased. Affected by the entire agricultural consumption market and the low price of agricultural products this year, the herbicide product market is also relatively flat. For example, the price of glyphosate at the beginning of the year reached a maximum of 37,000 yuan / ton. Due to the delay in the release of the list of companies that passed the environmental inspection of glyphosate (bis-glyphosate), some idle capacity has also been activated. In addition, the South American market has reduced domestic procurement efforts. , resulting in the price of glyphosate gradually falling to the current 24,000 yuan/ton; the prices of atrazine and acetochlor were maintained at a low price of 23,000 yuan/ton and 21,000 yuan/ton respectively; only paraquat, Nicosulfuron-methyl and quizalofop-p-ethyl are affected by environmental protection production restrictions, and their production capacity is obviously insufficient, and they have been operating at high prices. The market of other herbicide products was generally stable and the prices were relatively flat.
Fourth, the dosage of biological growth regulators has increased significantly. Plant growth regulators have good effects on crop resistance, increase yield, improve quality and yield, and have good demonstration and publicity effects. They are gradually recognized by farmers and their usage has increased.
According to the statistical forecast and analysis of 31 provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities)-level plant protection and plant inspection stations across the country, the total national demand for pesticides in 2015 is expected to be 1,009,400 tons, or 325,800 tons, basically the same as the previous year. Varieties with a demand of more than 10,000-20,000 tons include glyphosate, dichlorvos, copper sulfate, acetochlor, carbendazim, chlorpyrifos, and atrazine.
"With the growth of population, the three major grain crops of wheat, rice and corn still maintain a 'tight balance' between supply and demand, and the rigid demand for agrochemical products will not change. It is expected that the pesticide market will continue to maintain a stable trend in 2015." Zhao Qing said that in 2015, the planting scale of commercial crops, such as specialty vegetables, seedlings and flowers, trees, edible fungi, and Chinese medicinal materials, will gradually increase, and the amount of pesticides will increase.
In response to the market demand for specific products in the market next year, Zhao Qing also gave relevant predictions:
First, the total amount of pesticides showed a downward trend, and the structural adjustment was obvious. The overall demand is expected to be 110,300 tons, a decrease of 8.27% over the previous year.
Among them, the demand for organic phosphorus has decreased significantly, and the amount of varieties with high efficiency, low toxicity and long lasting effect has increased. The expected demand is 77,700 tons, a decrease of 6.12% over the previous year. Organophosphorus has been decreasing year by year in recent years. Varieties with greater demand are dichlorvos, chlorpyrifos, trichlorfon, phoxim, acephate, omethoate and triazophos.
The expected demand for carbamates is 5,200 tons, down 18.81% from the previous year. The varieties with larger demand are isoprocarb, carbosulfur and carbosulfan; the varieties with larger increase are indoxacarb, carnacarb, fendicarb and carbosulfan. The varieties with a larger decline were thiodimethoxam, aldicarb and carbocarb.
The estimated demand for pyrethroids is 3,600 tons, a decrease of 15% over the previous year. The varieties with larger demand are beta-cypermethrin, fenvalerate and fenvalerate. The varieties with a larger increase were bifenthrin and S-fenvalerate.
The estimated demand for other pesticides is 23,900 tons, a decrease of 11.31% over the previous year. The varieties that are in greater demand are ciprofloxacin, imidacloprid, pymetrozine, bacillus thuringiensis (BT), diflubenzuron, abamectin, and acetamiprid. In addition, the demand for 22 varieties of abamectin, methylamino abamectin, thiazide, insecticide list, and thiamethoxam declined.
Second, the demand for acaricides is rising. The expected demand is 10,900 tons, an increase of 3.59% over the previous year. The varieties that are in great demand are crystalline stone sulfur mixture, propargite, pyridaben, dicofol, triazotin, and mite dead net. The demand growth rate is relatively large is the crystal stone sulfur mixture.
Third, the demand for fungicides continues to rise. The expected demand is 91,200 tons, an increase of 8.5% over the previous year. The varieties with larger demand are copper sulfate, carbendazim, dysen, thiophanate-methyl, copper hydroxide, tricyclazole, Jinggangmycin, chlorothalonil, triazolone, metalaxyl, rice Plague etc. Varieties with larger demand growth include syringastrostrobin, trioxystrobin, azoxystrobin, junduqing, copper hydroxide, pyraclostrobin, seed dressing, pyraclostrobin, thiabendazole, dysen Wait.
Fourth, the demand for herbicides is basically the same as the previous year. The expected demand is 109,400 tons, which is basically the same as the previous year. Varieties with high demand are: glyphosate, acetochlor, atrazine, paraquat, butachlor, 2,4-D butyl ester, bentazone, metolachlor, dimethyltetrachloride, Fomesafen, quinclorac, trifluralin.
Varieties with a large increase in demand are oxyfluorfen, chlorfenapyr, clethodim, fenflufen, dichlorfen, pendimethalin, imazethapyr, pretilachlor, chlorsulfuron, and alachlor , Sethoxydim, Prozam, ethametsulfuron, oxazolam, etc.
Fifth, the demand for plant growth regulators has declined. The expected demand is 3986.83 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10.55%. The varieties with larger demand are ethephon, paclobutrazol, and benzylamine.
Sixth, the demand for rodenticides declined slightly. The expected demand is 50.86 tons. The varieties that are in greater demand are the sodium ditetramine and bromodipuron, among which the sodium chloramphenicol has a relatively large decline. At present, there are relatively few varieties of rodenticides on the market.
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